Could Civil War Break Out in Turkey?
Before the 2023 elections people were asking: “What happens if Erdoğan loses?” Drawing a striking parallel with the 2012 Venezuelan election, the author discusses scenarios of violence and chaos.
Author
39 articles · Writing for PUGAT 2021–2026 · 5 series
Before the 2023 elections people were asking: “What happens if Erdoğan loses?” Drawing a striking parallel with the 2012 Venezuelan election, the author discusses scenarios of violence and chaos.
Ali Çağlar · 7 April 2023 · 6 min read

In the 1970s the ülkücü (idealist) movement spread rapidly among devout young people in the provinces; commando camps, street clashes and ties to the deep state fed a bloody era.
Ali Çağlar · 4 February 2023 · 7 min read

From the Republic’s citizenship-based nationalism to Nihal Atsız’s racist Turkism and the 1944 Turanism trial: the roots of the ülkücü (idealist) movement.
Ali Çağlar · 27 January 2023 · 5 min read

The shadow of the 1995 killing of Colonel Rıdvan Özden falls on today’s politics. Starting from a YouTube interview, the author questions the dark reckonings of an earlier era.
Ali Çağlar · 4 November 2022 · 9 min read

Selahattin Demirtaş’s condemnation of the September 2022 attack on a police guesthouse in Mersin drew a harsh response from the PKK. The author assesses how this debate reflects on Kurdish politics.
Ali Çağlar · 10 October 2022 · 5 min read

Confessions about the assassination of Necip Hablemitoğlu have put fugitive Colonel Levent Göktaş at the centre of the agenda. The author comments on the covert fight between deep-state cliques ahead of the elections.
Ali Çağlar · 6 August 2022 · 5 min read

The Gendarmerie Commander’s interview puts the post-15 July counter-terrorism concept of “destroying it at its source” in the spotlight. The author assesses the statements in light of the gendarmerie’s last six years.
Ali Çağlar · 11 July 2022 · 6 min read

The KDP and the PKK are two movements born of the idea of an independent Kurdish state whose paths later diverged. Operation Claw-Lock, launched in April 2022, has brought the balance in the Turkey–KDP–PKK triangle back onto the agenda.
Ali Çağlar · 16 May 2022 · 8 min read

Images of wretched soldiers in Ukraine reminded the author of the base area where he served on Mount Bagok. A personal account of soldiers who do not know what they are dying for.
Ali Çağlar · 16 March 2022 · 6 min read

According to former CIA Director David Petraeus, urban warfare in Kyiv was inevitable. The author assesses the difficulties of combat in built-up areas through the examples of Aleppo and Grozny.
Ali Çağlar · 7 March 2022 · 3 min read

Topics
Latest articles
PUGAT is a non-profit digital publishing community that brings out independent analysis on security, migration and society from Europe.
Contact us: info@pugat.org
2021–2026 © PUGAT · Pusula Güvenlik Araştırmaları Topluluğu (Compass Security Research Community)
Your privacy choices
We use Google Analytics to understand which articles are read. Here you can switch off cookie-based statistics and allow YouTube/Spotify content to load automatically. We do not use advertising cookies. Details

