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39 articles · Writing for PUGAT 2021–2026 · 5 series
What happens if the US withdraws from Syria? The article assesses the SDF’s manpower, weapons capacity and ability to resist a possible Turkish operation in a scenario where US protection is lifted.
Founded in 1982 with Iranian support, Hezbollah has become an armed force stronger than the Lebanese army. With its rocket and anti-tank arsenal, guerrilla experience and tunnels, how long can it hold out against Israel?
Shared by eighteen religious communities, Lebanon is economically bankrupt and has hardly a functioning army. How did its sectarian system of government, demographic change and foreign interventions produce this fragility?
A farmer’s son born in the Altai Mountains became a weapons designer after the helplessness he experienced in war. With its ease of use and durability, Kalashnikov’s AK-47 became one of the deadliest weapons in the world.
Democratic or totalitarian, states sometimes step outside the rules they have set themselves. Assassinations and terrorist attacks are among the darkest tools of covert operations, and the truth often comes out far too late.
A gravestone in Munich bears the name “Cicero”. The novel-like life of İlyas Bazna, who, as the British ambassador’s valet during the Second World War, sold the Allies’ most secret documents to the Germans.
The task of intelligence is to see threats coming. AI is changing the balance in this race, and it brings new risks too, from fake images to the analytical capacity of terrorist organisations.
Israel’s ground operation in Gaza will not be a rapid advance but a long siege war. The Acacia Base, where the Israeli army prepares for urban warfare, and the likely course of the war.
The fate of the war in Gaza will be decided underground. The history and construction of tunnels hundreds of kilometres long, and the challenges they will pose to the Israeli army.
Hamas’s attack of 7 October and Israel’s response have pushed the region into a deadlock. Whether the war widens depends on the steps taken by Hezbollah and therefore by Iran.
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